All you Need is Loan. Credit Market Frictions and the Exit of Firms in Recessions
Sophie Osotimehin, Francesco Pappadà
Abstract
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Sophie Osotimehin, Francesco Pappadà
Abstract
Open-access reader
This paper investigates how credit market frictions may alter business cycle dynamics bymodifying the exit behavior of firms. We show that the extensive margin yields a significantamplification mechanism as credit frictions increase the number of firms vulnerable to afall in aggregate productivity. Unlike the standard financial accelerator, this amplificationchannel does not hinge on the sensitivity of firms’ net worth to aggregate shocks. Moreover, though credit market frictions distort the selection of exiting firms, the average idiosyncraticproductivity of firms during recessions rises more than in a frictionless economy.
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This paper investigates how credit market frictions may alter business cycle dynamics bymodifying the exit behavior of firms. We show that the extensive margin yields a significantamplification mechanism as credit frictions increase the number of firms vulnerable to afall in aggregate productivity. Unlike the standard financial accelerator, this amplificationchannel does not hinge on the sensitivity of firms’ net worth to aggregate shocks. Moreover, though credit market frictions distort the selection of exiting firms, the average idiosyncraticproductivity of firms during recessions rises more than in a frictionless economy.
Key concepts: Recession, Business cycle, Margin (machine learning), Monetary economics, Economics, Bond market, Financial accelerator, Loan