Is Lebanon’s Trade Deficit Sustainable? A Cointegration Analysis
Charalambos Pattichis, Mona N Kanaan
Abstract
Charalambos Pattichis, Mona N Kanaan
Abstract
This paper focuses on the sustainability of Lebanon’s trade deficit over a period characterised by war and reconstruction. Annual and quarterly data on imports and exports were used. Unit root and cointegration tests suggest that imports and exports are cointegrated and the trade balance is stationary. These results carry the important implication that Lebanon’s trade deficit is sustainable.
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This paper focuses on the sustainability of Lebanon’s trade deficit over a period characterised by war and reconstruction. Annual and quarterly data on imports and exports were used. Unit root and cointegration tests suggest that imports and exports are cointegrated and the trade balance is stationary. These results carry the important implication that Lebanon’s trade deficit is sustainable.
Key concepts: Cointegration, Balance of trade, Unit root, Economics, Sustainability, Carry (investment), Balance (ability), International economics