The New Keynesian Model with Imperfect Information and Learning
Fabrice Collard, Harris Dellas
Abstract
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Fabrice Collard, Harris Dellas
Abstract
Open-access reader
The standard version of the new Keynesian model has important, well known, empirical limitations, in particular with regard to inflation and interest rate dynamics following a monetary shock.We demonstrate how the introduction of a modest amount of imperfect information and gradual learning suffices to fix these flaws.The modified model generates inflation persistence, realistic inflation and output dynamics and a liquidity effect.Moreover, the overall fitness of the model -according to standard moments criteria-is also better for imperfect information version relative to the standard version.
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The standard version of the new Keynesian model has important, well known, empirical limitations, in particular with regard to inflation and interest rate dynamics following a monetary shock.We demonstrate how the introduction of a modest amount of imperfect information and gradual learning suffices to fix these flaws.The modified model generates inflation persistence, realistic inflation and output dynamics and a liquidity effect.Moreover, the overall fitness of the model -according to standard moments criteria-is also better for imperfect information version relative to the standard version.
Key concepts: New Keynesian economics, Economics, Perfect information, Inflation (cosmology), Imperfect, Shock (circulatory), Rational expectations, Econometrics