2008•RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsRequires access

Stylized Facts and Discrete Stochastic Volatility Models

Alin Sima

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Abstract

This paper highlights the ability of the discrete stochastic volatility models to predict some important properties of the data, i.e. leptokurtic distribution of the returns, slowly decaying autocorrelation function of squared returns, the Taylor effect and the asymmetric response of volatility to return shocks. Although, there are many methods proposed for stochastic volatility model estimation, in this paper Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques were considered. It was found that the existent specifications in the stochastic volatility literature are consistent with the empirical properties of the data. Thus, from this point of view the discrete stochastic volatility models are reliable tools for volatility estimation.

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What this paper is about

This paper highlights the ability of the discrete stochastic volatility models to predict some important properties of the data, i.e. leptokurtic distribution of the returns, slowly decaying autocorrelation function of squared returns, the Taylor effect and the asymmetric response of volatility to return shocks. Although, there are many methods proposed for stochastic volatility model estimation, in this paper Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques were considered. It was found that the existent specifications in the stochastic volatility literature are consistent with the empirical properties of the data. Thus, from this point of view the discrete stochastic volatility models are reliable tools for volatility estimation.

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Available abstract

This paper highlights the ability of the discrete stochastic volatility models to predict some important properties of the data, i.e. leptokurtic distribution of the returns, slowly decaying autocorrelation function of squared returns, the Taylor effect and the asymmetric response of volatility to return shocks. Although, there are many methods proposed for stochastic volatility model estimation, in this paper Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques were considered. It was found that the existent specifications in the stochastic volatility literature are consistent with the empirical properties of the data. Thus, from this point of view the discrete stochastic volatility models are reliable tools for volatility estimation.

Key concepts: Stochastic volatility, Econometrics, Stylized fact, Financial models with long-tailed distributions and volatility clustering, Heston model, Markov chain Monte Carlo, Volatility (finance), Forward volatility

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