2008Economics bulletinOpen access

Fertility-related pensions and fertility disincentives

Luciano Fanti, Luca Gori

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Abstract

Since recent studies have argued that a pro-natalist effect could be obtained by introducing fertility-related pension systems for contrasting, especially in European countries, the plague of below-replacement fertility and the resulting problem of financing the widespread pay-as-you-go (PAYG) pension benefits, we built up an overlapping generations (OLG) general equilibrium model with endogenous fertility, to investigate whether and how a fertility-related pension reform increases population growth. We show that if the capital’s share in production is high enough, such a reform, in contrast with the suggestions of the preceding literature, always reduces the long-run fertility rate.

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Since recent studies have argued that a pro-natalist effect could be obtained by introducing fertility-related pension systems for contrasting, especially in European countries, the plague of below-replacement fertility and the resulting problem of financing the widespread pay-as-you-go (PAYG) pension benefits, we built up an overlapping generations (OLG) general equilibrium model with endogenous fertility, to investigate whether and how a fertility-related pension reform increases population growth. We show that if the capital’s share in production is high enough, such a reform, in contrast with the suggestions of the preceding literature, always reduces the long-run fertility rate.

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Available abstract

Since recent studies have argued that a pro-natalist effect could be obtained by introducing fertility-related pension systems for contrasting, especially in European countries, the plague of below-replacement fertility and the resulting problem of financing the widespread pay-as-you-go (PAYG) pension benefits, we built up an overlapping generations (OLG) general equilibrium model with endogenous fertility, to investigate whether and how a fertility-related pension reform increases population growth. We show that if the capital’s share in production is high enough, such a reform, in contrast with the suggestions of the preceding literature, always reduces the long-run fertility rate.

Key concepts: Fertility, Economics, Overlapping generations model, Pension, Total fertility rate, Labour economics, Population, Population ageing

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