Stock Market Returns, Volatility, and Future Output
Hui Guo
Abstract
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Hui Guo
Abstract
Open-access reader
In this article, Hui Gho shows that, if stock volatility follows an AR(1) process, stock market returns relate positively to past volatility but relate negatively to contemporaneous volatility in Merton’s (1973) Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model.
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In this article, Hui Gho shows that, if stock volatility follows an AR(1) process, stock market returns relate positively to past volatility but relate negatively to contemporaneous volatility in Merton’s (1973) Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model.
Key concepts: Economics, Volatility (finance), Volatility swap, Volatility smile, Implied volatility, Volatility risk premium, Stock (firearms), Financial economics