2002Unpublished venueOpen access

Stock Market Returns, Volatility, and Future Output

Hui Guo

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Abstract

In this article, Hui Gho shows that, if stock volatility follows an AR(1) process, stock market returns relate positively to past volatility but relate negatively to contemporaneous volatility in Merton’s (1973) Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model.

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What this paper is about

In this article, Hui Gho shows that, if stock volatility follows an AR(1) process, stock market returns relate positively to past volatility but relate negatively to contemporaneous volatility in Merton’s (1973) Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model.

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OpenAlex reports 49 citations for this work. Citation counts describe recorded attention and do not establish research quality.

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Available abstract

In this article, Hui Gho shows that, if stock volatility follows an AR(1) process, stock market returns relate positively to past volatility but relate negatively to contemporaneous volatility in Merton’s (1973) Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model.

Key concepts: Economics, Volatility (finance), Volatility swap, Volatility smile, Implied volatility, Volatility risk premium, Stock (firearms), Financial economics

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