Expected voting in the EU referendum and its unexpected determinants

The shift from transitology to accessology in Poland has resulted in an abundance of reports, analyses, projects, and public opinion polls focusing on Poles' attitudes towards European integration and the determinants thereof. Meanwhile, in my opinion, a superficial picture of who is for and who is against accession continues to dominate public discourse. Focusing on one dependent variable only, i.e., expected voting behaviour in the EU referendum, this article reveals the role of some less obvious determinants of the Poles' attitudes towards accession. Several factors, routinely taken into account, have been analysed, including variables referring to the rural-urban context, age and education, occupational and labour status, religion, and dwelling region. Analysis based on the 2001 Polish General Electoral Study has revealed that the determinants of declared voting behaviour in the EU referendum are much more complex and problematic than is usually presented.